What Countries Set to Outperform in 2013?

If you read The Ivy Portfolio you would have seen a few sections on quant reversion strategies.   One strategy is to look for asset classes that were down both two and three years ago (1,2, and 3 years ago is even better).  The median return from our study after down years two and three years ago was 19% (vs ~12.66% for all observations). The median return after three down years in a row was 25.78%.  A bunch of countries are down 2/3 years ago at the end of 2012, but only a few may be down three years in a row (potentially).  We only track about 40 countries while our friends at Bespoke do closer to 70:

 

 

 
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