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$50M for a domain?
...Red Herring reports that the owner of pharmacy.com is looking to fetch $50M for his domain. Wow. Then again, business.com went for $350M. . . Seeing as Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase, IndexIQ, Stonebrook Structured Products, State Street Global Advisors, and Deutsche Bank AG are ALL launching hedge fund clones, don’t you think one of them would pick up my domain www.hedgefundclone.com for a measly few million?...
Investing 101 – A Reading List
...Here is a great PDF from James Montier (Global Equity Strategy at Dresdner) describing his favorite investment books. I picked up a couple I had never heard of for some end of Summer beach reading. . . The Robot’s Rebellion: Finding Meaning in the Age of Darwin Psychology of Intelligence Analysis...
BuyWrite and PutWrite
...less accurate rate. That was the deciding factor. But also note that it is common practice in academic papers to exclude the fall of 1987 precisely because it was such an extreme tail event. I concur with this point of view because I believe that an event of this magnitude is unlikely to reoccur given all the circuit breaker mechanisms put in place in 1989. Including 1987 would almost surely provide a less informative picture of likely future perf...
Extreme Investing
...extra value in the lower end of the P/E spectrum is to be found in the very lowest P/E shares, and whether the worst investments reside in the few shares with the highest P/E. Using a long-term definition of earnings, and attributing influences on the P/E to company size and sector, we find that small portfolios of value shares give returns of 40%+ per annum, while small portfolios of glamour shares give returns less than the risk free rate. We th...
Head and Shoulders – Journal of Financial Econometrics
...243-265(23) Link: http://technicalanalysis.org.uk/reversal-patterns/SaWZ03.pdf Abstract: We use the pattern recognition algorithm of Lo, Mamaysky, and Wang (2000) with some modifications to determine whether “head-and-shoulders” (HS) price patterns have predictive power for future stock returns. The modifications include the use of filters based on typical price patterns identified by a technical analyst. With data from the S&P 500 and the Russell...
AlphaLetters Weekly Paper Review #4 & #5
.... Note that this is a very short-term, minute level strategy. AlphaLetters comments: 1. Why important We find this paper very interesting because it apparently shows that the stock market is not efficient, and stock investors collectively do not understand and process every piece of information as they become available. Consequently, an index that is based on “old” information is perceived as new information and moves market. The authors show that...
AlphaLetters Weekly Paper Review #2 & #3
...nformation are from BoardEx of Management Diagnostics Limited, a private research company. This study covers 1,648 US actively managed equity funds and 2,501 portfolio managers, and educational background on 42,269 board members and 14,122 senior officials for 7,660 CRSP stocks. Stock return and accounting data is from CRSP/COMPUSTAT. 3. Discussions We question whether this strategy makes economic sense. It’s interesting to note that although port...
Renaissance to Launch New $25B Managed Futures Fund
...my recent paper, “A Quant Approach to TAA“, I had a full 20% allocation to commodities. Since commodities are real assets (i.e. wheat, gold, oil), they have different sources of return than stocks and bonds. (And I love the fact that none of the gurus have ANY allocation to commodities.) In addition, commodities have a low correlation with these asset classes and are a good hedge against unexpected inflation. Historical returns to commodities have...
Gene Therapy Comes of Age?
...from readers, I can do an example rNPV for one of the early stage biotech companies like GNVC or NRGX. PS It must be nice to be married to a billionaire to fund your new genetic information company. One of the needs in the marketplace, in my opinion, is an information service that delivers the Amplichip to the consumer (it measures variations of two genes that determine how fast you metabolize certain drugs). Seriously, if I was on any sort of an...
AlphaLetters Weekly Paper Review
...ource: Yale University working paper Link: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~af227/pdf/cofraz.pdf Strategy summary: Long stocks with high recent customer stocks’ return (customer defined as those to which this company is supplying goods/services), short otherwise. AlphaLetters comments: 1. Why important This paper is based on a simple, convincing idea that good/bad news on a customer company should be reflected in the stock price of its supplier company....
