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Beating the Dow with Dogs, Flyers, Bonds, and Darlings
...10 Years Government Bond plus a margin (0.3%), then Stock’s valuations are compelling compared to Bonds. Invest in Stocks: use the Flying Five strategy. 3. If S&P500 Earning Yield is lower than the 10 Years Government Bond plus a margin (0.3%), then Stock’s valuations are not compelling compared to Bonds. Invest in Bonds. 4. If you Invest in Bonds, check the price of Gold versus 1 year ago. If Gold price increased versus 1 year ago, then invest in...
Drawbacks of Simple Momentum
...ber of readers have pointed out, there are various drawbacks to the method/test I have presented here. The big ones are: 1. Fixed measurement period. I used a simple one-month and one-year absolute measure, but it is possible that 3, 6, X months would work better (or a combination of measurement periods). 2. Fixed holding period. This is the biggie to me – it doesn’t make sense to me to sell an asset class that is moving up. And, on the downside,...
Harvard + Yale II
...% allocation, and rebalance the portfolio yearly. The indices used for backtesting are the S&P 500, Morgan Stanley Capital Markets EAFE Index, 10 Year US Government Bonds, National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts Index, and Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. All are total return series that are updated monthly. The portfolio is referenced as Asset Allocation (AA), and 40 basis points are deducted for management fees to invest in a represe...
Sample Portfolios Beginning 12/31/2006
...10% Real Estate (VNQ) 10% Commodities (GSP) 100% The risk parity portfolio simply uses the extra capital freed up from leverage to place more money into bonds. . . World Beta 5 Asset Class Risk Parity Portfolio 25% US Stocks (ULPIX) ie only allocate 12.5% of funds to ULPIX as it is 2:1 leveraged 25% Foreign Stocks (UNPIX) ditto 55% US Bonds (AGG) 10% Real Estate (VNQ) 10% Commodities (GSP) 125% In this case, the extra capital is allocated to porta...
