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The Good Judgment Team

...should drop out); participants will have the opportunity to work with state-of-the-art techniques (training and incentive systems) designed to augment accuracy; and participants will receive feedback on how well calibrated (among other things) their subjective probability judgments are in relation to others for various categories of problems. In short, we think it will be fun. If we were not running it, we would volunteer ourselves. Many thanks fo...

DC & NYC

...according to Persaud go to the “safest” currencies, but it comes home. “ http://www.valuerestorationproject.com/2011/05/currencies-are-not-like-stocks-winners.html...

Speaking: This Saturday, March 19th Los Angeles

...I’m giving a talk (along with Axel Merk) this Saturday at the Skirball Center in Los Angeles. It is early (9am) but come on out and ask come questions. http://www.aaiilosangeles.org/calendar.htm...

Reading & Traveling

...atmeal.com/comics/coffee http://www.postsecret.com/ http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/because-every-country-is-the-best-at-something/...

Killer Lineup at Ira Sohn This Year

...Klarman, Tepper, Grantham, Einhorn, Zell, etc. http://www.irasohnconference.com/...

AlphaClone News

...ofessional grade web-based equity research service that lets investors find, backtest and track the stock ideas of top money managers. Through a process called “cloning,” AlphaClone simulates investing in smart money stock ideas at the time they are made public. Easy-to-use, powerful and flexible, AlphaClone is designed for both individual and professional investors who want to know what the smart money is doing and more importantly how they can b...

Book Reviews

...vorite 1star review: I ordered this book on April 23rd, today is May 27th and I still have not received it. I have sent many e-mail’s and have not got a response. http://www.amazon.com/Ivy-Portfolio-Invest-Endowments-Markets/product-reviews/0470284897/ref=cm_cr_pr_hist_1?ie=UTF8&showViewpoints=0&filterBy=addOneStar...

The #1 Key to Investment Blogging

...mentpostcards.com/ Macro Man http://macro-man.blogspot.com/ Maoxian http://www.maoxian.com/ Market Folly http://www.marketfolly.com/ Michael Covel http://www.michaelcovel.com/ Microcap Speculator http://microcapspeculator.net/ Mish’s http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/ New Rules of Investing http://newrulesofinvesting.com/ Old Prof http://oldprof.typepad.com/ Peridot Capitalist http://www.peridotcapitalist.com/ Quantifiable Edges http://qu...

Killing the Black Swan