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Guest Blog: Tom McClellan

...10 year period of 1997-2006. You can learn more about his work by visiting www.mcoscillator.com. *********************************** The below commentary is from Tom: Gold has gone above $800. But if you are not a gold bug, a jeweler, or a dentist, you are probably reacting to that news with a shrug and a “so what?”. Well, here is the answer. In our business of market timing, gold’s biggest value is as a harbinger. Whatever is coming down the pike...

AlphaLetters Quant Paper Reviews

...es(i.e., stocks with high past beta but low recent beta)? Intuitively, “out-of-favor” growth stocks migrating into value category are likely candidates, since they tend to have high volatility in the past but are no longer “hot”. Evidence suggests that these stocks are likely to outperform. Does this mean that the change in beta is just a fancy name for “value”? On a separate note, the authors have done a meticulous job of confirming their results...

Warren Buffett is a Colorado Rockies Fan

.... — Confused about hedge fund clones? Here is a good summary from EDHEC. Our friends ART, ABI, ARB, T-Rex, Altera, MAST, and ABS are all there. Now will someone from one of these i-banks please email me with a bid for www.hedgefundclone.com so I can go to the Rockies game this weekend? — What is the Deep Moat Double? — To go along with the January Effect, it looks like the first day of the month produces consistent returns....

Listed Private Equity Choices – PSP & PFP ETFs

...al listed hedge fund ETF in the works? Keep an eye on www.listedhedgefunds.com. (Why not www.listedhedgefund.com you ask? PowerShares if you are reading I would be happy to sell the domain to you. . .) On principal I like the concept of the foreign fund better. Its holdings are actual listed private equity funds versus private equity fund management companies. Since I am an empirical skeptic, I reserve my judgment until seeing the data. (I am also...

AlphaLetters Selected Journal Paper Reviews

...ld, and Book-to-Market Ratio Title: Stock Returns, Dividend Yield, and Book-to-Market Ratio Author: Xiaoquan Jiang, Bong-Soo Lee Source: Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 31, No. 2: (February 2007)455-475 Link: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0378426606002238 Abstract: A dividend yield model has been widely used in previous research that relates stock market valuations to cash flow fundamentals. Given controversies about using divide...

AlphaLetters Paper Reviews – #6 and #7

...rently in the third quarter each year? Contrasting this paper with “Trader Composition and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns” (http://ssrn.com/abstract=890656), which claims that anomalies (momentum, value, earning surprise) are stronger in the stocks with low FIT (fraction of institutional trading volume) in total volume, (since institution investors have more information), it would be interesting if we can refine FIT by applying it to trades of...

$50M for a domain?

...Red Herring reports that the owner of pharmacy.com is looking to fetch $50M for his domain. Wow. Then again, business.com went for $350M. . . Seeing as Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase, IndexIQ, Stonebrook Structured Products, State Street Global Advisors, and Deutsche Bank AG are ALL launching hedge fund clones, don’t you think one of them would pick up my domain www.hedgefundclone.com for a measly few million?...

BuyWrite and PutWrite

...portfolio) up through the present time. The daily prices are available at www.cboe.com/bxm, and from quote vendors that provide options data.” How about monthly data? “The BXM is calculated daily by compounding at the daily rate of return and this rate incorporates whatever dividends went ex that day. Spreading monthly dividends over the days of the month would have produced a less accurate rate. That was the deciding factor. But also note that i...

AlphaLetters Weekly Paper Review

...iles, and one needs to program to identify the cusip or ticker of customer companies. Other stock-related information is from standard Compustat/CRSP 3. Next steps The industry profile of the long-short portfolio is yet to be studied, and it may potentially be a big issue for some investment managers to use this strategy. For example, retail industry companies would not have customer companies, so the long-short portfolio should presumably contain...