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What Worked?

...nth. It is similar to our old posts we used to do on alternatives, and what “works” during a market sell off. Let me know if there are any other good funds to include on the alt table. My intern created this fantastic Excel sheet to automatically download returns for assets classes based on any date. I considered making this Excel sheet available to people as a download or perhaps as a website, let me know if you are interested. Click on any table...

Speaking: This Saturday, March 19th Los Angeles

...I’m giving a talk (along with Axel Merk) this Saturday at the Skirball Center in Los Angeles. It is early (9am) but come on out and ask come questions. http://www.aaiilosangeles.org/calendar.htm...

Hedge Fund Analyst Checklist

...w would you feel about your chances of successfully competing against this company? Compare to a weak competitor in the same industry. What is the difference and why? Financial Measures First Step: Check against all the accounting shenanigans in Howard Schilit’s book (Financial Shenanigans: How to Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports, Third Edition) Balance Sheet What is the company’s capital structure, and how does it compare t...

$10,000 for Best Paper

...would fall if interest rates went up. This strikes me as a pretty good argument to get a competent financial advisor. In unrelated news, 67% of respondents rated their overall financial knowledge as “high,” and 75% endorsed the statement, “I am pretty good at math.” The financial market is a really expensive place to get an education.” —- Diversification and Risk Management. —- Many investing blogs and websites exist for the purposes of investor...

How to Win Your Office Pool and VIC Roundup

...will not help you in Vegas (you need to win roughly 55% of the time to overcome the vig) but they may help give you an edge in your office pool. Note that since your competitors are likely following the consensus, any win will likely distance you from the rest of the field as well creating an outlier that should help to separate points from the pack. The website lets you download the data (for a $) so you can run your own quant analysis. Report ba...

ETF and Portfolio Design Tools

...ada, BC Government Statistics, Canadian Institute of Actuaries, Economagic.com, Financial Post, Globe & Mail, globefund.com, Kitco, Libra Investment Management Inc., MSCI, Prof. Werner Antweiler (UBC), Scotia Capital, BMO, Standard & Poors, Statistics Canada (Table 326-0001), DH&A, and Wilshire Associates. —- Mutual fund to ETF Converter —- Ability to backtest moving average strategies. —- If I was an economist I’d just announce every recession wa...

The Death Cross, or, Questioning What You Read

...e models work to reduce vol and drawdown NOT increase returns. Other momentum methods, as well as using leverage, can accomplish increased CAGR.) Long time readers of the blog know that these trendfollowing methods work in other asset classes as well (A Quantitative Approach To Tactical Asset Allocation). Our second paper illustrated methods that beat buy and hold in over two thirds of all years (with less volatility and drawdown as well) includin...

Reading & Traveling

...inance/investing/economics blogs on the list. There are some fun blogs on there though (although and after some review I am amazed they made any sort of best of list): http://theoatmeal.com/comics/coffee http://www.postsecret.com/ http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/visualizations/because-every-country-is-the-best-at-something/...

NAAIM Paper Winner

...Below is the paper that won the $10k Wagner Award from NAAIM for best paper. You can download it from the website. (And I’m happy to hear that the author heard about the competition from the blog.) I’ve haven’t read it yet but plan to over the long weekend. Alpha Generation and Risk Smoothing using Volatility of Volatility by Tony Cooper...