Dead Cat Bounce or the Bottom?

4
Taking a look at Bespoke's data for the ten best days in stocks since 1900, 4 are during a bear market, and 4 are...

Weekend LinkFest

1
Great interview with Grantham from GMO in this weekend's Barrrons. My favorite quote: Barrons: Do you think we will learn anything from all...

LinkFest

6
Nice new paper out, "Unbundling Hedge Fund Beta" which finds that hedge funds are good at timing the market. This is not surprising...

100% Cash and Out of Sample Returns

13
People email me every day asking how the timing model has held up during this market dump (short answer: great). The model is...

Value Investing Congress NYC, Summary With Picks

1
While some of the most famous hedge funds are getting hammered (here and here and here), there are still some top investors presenting...

How to Miss the Housing Crash

0
A reader emailed in asking me if the timing model would work for housing. I actually wrote an article on a beta allocation...

Value Investing Congress NYC

0
I'll be traveling for the next week - drop me a line if you would like to meet up. Also, if you're going...

Comments on GTAA model

5
Well, the market took a huge dump today. If you are following my model you are 80% in cash/bonds, and by the end...

LinkFest

1
I love Estrada's work. Here is a link to a recent paper in the Journal of Investing. ABSTRACTDo investors obtain their long-term...

LinkFest

3
I was going to do a linkfest, but the KirkReport and Abnormal Returns do such a better job that you should just go there...