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What If You Owned No US Stocks?
...ave compounded at around 10% for just about forever, and the crazy math outcome is that if you compound an investment at 10% for 25 years, you 10x your money, and after 50 years you 100x your money. $10,000 plunked down at age 20 would grow to $1,000,000 in retirement. Amazing! For the past 15 years, it’s been even better than that. US stocks have compounded at around 15% per year since the bottom of the Global Financial Crisis, outperforming almo...
Episode #535: KraneShares’ Brendan Ahern on China’s Economic Landscape: Is It Still Investable?
...vidson Kempner, focused on providing targeted exposure to private markets. Comments or suggestions? Interested in sponsoring an episode? Email us Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com https://youtu.be/dH–sOV1_tM Links from the Episode: 1:02 Introducing our guest, Brendan Ahern 5:53 The state of China’s economy 14:18 Analysis of China’s geopolitical concerns and international partnerships 20:01 The narrative around China post Russia-Ukraine 22:03 Deep dive...
Episode #534: Michael Melissinos – Mastering the Art of Trend-Following
...rson and say, “All right, I’m going to start trading. I’m going to start researching companies and stocks,” because there’s a pretty low bridge or bar to jump over to get working. Even doing some sort of simulations. There’s a lot of prepackaged software programs like Portfolio123 or the… There’s a ton of literature about stock screens. How many dozens if not hundreds of books are there about stock screens? But for a trend follower, you hit a soft...
Episode #533: Eric Crittenden & Jason Buck Explain Why Best Investors Follow the Trends
...ng luck of when we launch products is very prevalent. And Meb, I know your latest question is kind of like, “What do you say that people don’t agree with?” And I was really trying to think about this one, because I think everything I say normal investing spheres people don’t agree with, but I was trying to think what would surprise the three of you, which I think is really hard to do, because we’re all, like you said, so much alike. But one, I mea...
Episode #532: Hendrik Bessembinder – Do Stocks Outperform T-Bills?
...is that most investments are losers. As a matter of fact, the single most common outcome is to lose everything, but there’s a few really big gainers, 10 baggers, 100 baggers, and there’s enough of them that make this asset class desirable, you might reasonably think I was talking about venture capital, but I’m not. I’m talking about the public stock market in the long run. So my takeaway is that these features of the data are not unique to the pr...
Episode #531: GMO’s Catherine LeGraw – Capitalizing on Global Asset Allocation in 2024
...way you can win by investing in companies in cheap currencies. And that is simply that companies in consistently cheap currencies, if the currencies don’t appreciate, tend to have a higher earnings growth. They’re able to take advantage of being the low-cost producer. So two ways to capture that additional tailwind from currencies. And I’d say today, currencies are cheap enough that you should consider it when you’re choosing where to invest your...
Episode #530: Professor Kenneth French on Risk, Return, and Rationality
...e to shoot out a number. Meb: I know the answer because I’ve done enough research and listened to you for long enough. Listeners, come up with a number in your head of what you think is a realistic time horizon to judge this hedge fund manager. All right, you got a number? All right, professor, give us the reveal. Professor Ken French: Okay, what I actually tell people to do is write a number down. As soon as I tell them the answer, they’re going...
When To Take On Bond Risk….
...or distressed approach to fixed income… (Nerds may call this a tactical time series carry.) Let me know what you think! https://cambriainvestments.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/TBills-and-Chill-Most-of-the-Time.pdf...
Global Stock Market CAPE Ratios
...For the full list by country head on over to The Idea Farm…it’s free! Source Global Financial Data ...
Episode #527: Cliff Asness – Timely & Timeless Investment Wisdom
...e a lot of things you could do, a lot of arguments you can make, but quite simply, and I’m comfortable with this statement, 99 out of 100 times, Ken French is right. Don’t ask me the one out of 100. That’s between me and Kent. Meb: One of the things that I wanted to spend a little time on is a topic, one of your top three ideas of 2024. You guys value emerging markets. Then alt trend strategies and listeners of this show have probably heard a dece...
