New Podcast

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I did a little chat with Michael Covel yesterday.  The first two minutes are poor quality (my fault due to headphones) but the rest...

Hulbert on Trendfollowing

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I like Mark Hulbert and his writing.  However he has been doing a few posts on trendfollowing and seems to be missing the mark...

Dividends and Buybacks

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Long time readers will know why I really liked this paper by Mauboussin from Legg Mason.  (HT: Research Puzzle) Share Repurchase from All Angles The prime...

The Ascent of Money on PBS

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Parts 1-4 of the PBS Ferguson series, about an hour each. UPDATE:  I can't get these to embed so you can goto PBS and watch...

Macro Pessimism, Micro Optimism

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Everyday the news bombards us with negative macro headlines.  Troubles in Europe, war in Syria, asset bubbles, and politicians acting idiotically are the norm...

Reversion System Triggered

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Most risk based assets got clobbered in May, but the worst was foreign stocks (EAFE and EEM both around -11%). That would trigger our old...

If you have nothing to say….

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This blog will never be one of the more prolific or popular blogs for a host of reasons, and often weeks may pass between...

S&P to 400?

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As a follow up to my posts on global CAPEs, Timely Portfolio had a mention of Russell Napier of CLSA here, here, and a...

Secular Lows

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If you look at the history of country CAPEs, they tend to bottom out in single digits around 7.  Bull markets can push this...

Global Shiller CAPEs

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I have yet to find a source anywhere that tracks global Shiller CAPEs so I had my analyst Prabhat update this older post with...