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Episode #141: Radio Show: 34 of 40 Countries Have Negative 52 Week Momentum…Big Tax...
...paper called “Where the Black Swans Hide” that the vast majority of the up-and-down days it’s something like 70% occur when the market is already declining. And so, below something like a 200-day moving average or 10-month moving average. But so, you had an interesting scenario where trend falling type of systems started to de-risk. And so, depending on the system, it could’ve started de-risk as early as Q1. But certainly, very heavily by the end...
Episode #140: Ralph Acampora, “Don’t Ever Fight Papa Dow”
...t be more excited for this pass, look them up online at mountaincollective.com and come meet me on the slopes. Again, that’s mountaincollective.com. And now back to the show. Meb: Moving around the world, one of the nice things about TA is that, you know, can be used in almost any market. As you look around the globe, whether it be foreign stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, anything else stand out as particularly interesting or not interestin...
The Biggest Valuation Spread in 40 Years?
...er seen.) As the father of a 2-year old, I glanced at Billy to size up the competition…he was licking the display window in front of the pastries. With all due respect to the mother, my money is on her perhaps being a little biased. In the investing world, many U.S. investors, commentators, and financial media think that the U.S. is “gifted.” By this, I mean they tend to believe that our stock market is the healthiest and most robust, therefore it...
Episode #139: Taz Turner and Nate Nienhuis, CordovaCann, “We’re Really Driving At What We...
...e interested in investing, where do they go? Taz: So it’s at Cordovacann, C-O-R-D-O-V-A-C-A-N-N.com, or drop us an email at info@cordovacann.com. Meb: Awesome. You guys, thanks so much for taking the time today. Nate: Thank you. Taz: Thanks for having us. Meb: Listeners, you can always find more in the show notes, mebfaber.com/podcast. We’ll list all the links to everything that Taz and Nate talked about today, resources, ideas, everything else. Y...
Episode #138: Yariv Haim, Sparrows Capital, “You Should Never Try To Reassess Your Risk...
...und and pointed out that newly-listed companies are probably one of the not-so-great strategies for investors. They actually perform relatively poorly against firms who have been on the stock market for many, many years. And there are various reasons for that. But if these firms who go through the IPO machine, system, process, if they are hyped, if investors want to bind to that hype, just like you said before, you know, “Can I get the new Faceboo...
Episode #137: Emily and Morgan Paxhia, Poseidon Asset Management, “The Growers Who Focused On...
...r of consumer and B2B trend changes of pretty important scale such as the E-commerce, people shifting from purchasing in brick and mortar stores to the mass scale purchasing behaviours through e-commerce, as well as people shifting their viewership from time-locked cable viewing to over-the-top viewing with time shifting all along the way and seeing how those major trends can change and open up new market opportunities. But when I was working with...
Episode #136: Steve Romick, FPA Funds, “Value Investing Is, To Us, Simply Investing With...
...included, other sub-Saharan cable as well, outside of South Africa and an e-commerce portfolio. But if you assume zero value for both of those…there are other e-commerce investments, as well as the media investments. The market was paying you tens of billions of dollars to own Naspers. So what we did was, we went along in Naspers and shorted out their Tencent exposure. And the spread was in the billions of dollars and it went to the tens of billio...
Episode #135: Karan Wadhera, Casa Verde Capital, “We’re Still In Very, Very Early Innings...
...se names, at certain points it is very similar to the late-’90s kind of dot-com bubble you were referring to, right? There’s just a lot of euphoria and to some degree a lot of scarcity value, which is driving up the prices of some of these names. And they’re all trading on 2020 revenue estimates and beyond because the true market has yet to completely shape out. Meb: On revenue estimates, I heard one of the guys speak at the Institutional Conferen...
Episode #134: Chris Cole, Artemis Capital Management, “Volatility Is The Instrument That Makes Us...
...s when the market was going up 30% per year. He follows with a stat that at-the-money vol moved more in January of this year than it did in the February move most might be familiar with. Chris then provides his thoughts about regime changes, what is possible, and what he sees in the market. He starts with his recent paper, Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk. In that paper, he uses the example of the Ouroboros, or “Tail devourer” as a metaphor for...
Episode #133: Todd Harrison, CB1 Capital, “Humanity Has Had a 30,000 Year Relationship with...
...so you build that community sort of whether, you could say it’s thestreet.com community or it was them Minyanville community, or now it’s the CB1 community, Twitter, and that medium allows that to sort of reinvent itself. And I know that it’s sort opened my eyes to a lot of information that I wouldn’t have already known or haven’t already seen. Meb: Well, you know, it’s funny. You get the beauty, and the drawback of the internet, of course, and T...
