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Episode #132: Radio Show: Since 1989 80% of Stocks Had a Collective Return of...
...wn 0% to 10% this year, which is funny because I looked at the Barron’s end-of-year 2018 forecast, 10 of 10 said stocks would be up this year. Jeff: All right, well, what do you like right now? I’m just gonna push you on this. And if everything’s down… Meb: I’m a broken record, you know. Listeners know what I do with my own money. We’ve talked about it many times. As you look at the world today, you have a scenario where we’ll talk about value fir...
Episode #131: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research, “If Next Year is Not a Recession, It’s...
...not be a classic recession, but it’s gonna feel like it. There’s no get-out-of-jail-free card, things are gonna be a lot slower next year than this year, so even if you don’t have the recession call, it’s gonna be very close, I think something close to stagnation. So the yield curve is an important one. And I would also say the unemployment rate is also very important. And I know that people say, “Well, but the unemployment rate is a lagging indic...
Episode #130: Eric Falkenstein, Economist, “I Think in the Long Run (Cryptocurrencies) Are Going...
...some retail company, like, May company and May stores, and I bought an out-of-the-money call, and it was treating it like a dollar and a quarter. And they said, “Oh,” you know? And they called me back five minutes later and said, “You got filled at a buck in three quarters.” And I’m like, “Oh, I got it just as it’s going up. Great.” But then I realized, the price didn’t change. So basically the bid-ask spread was like, you know, you buy it for a...
Episode #129: Meb’s Take on Return Expectations, Portfolio Construction, and Practical Market Approaches
...ooking return expectations, an offer to book some time to chat with Meb one-on-one, best and worst starting points for new investment dollars, improving upon the global market portfolio, what corners of the market to look at now, and far more. If October’s market turbulence left you feeling some jitters, this episode will help you reorient your market views looking forward. All this and more in Episode 129. Sponsor: EquityZen Comments or sugge...
Episode #128: Claude Lamoureux, “When You Have to Make A Decision, Always Make the...
...ontributions. But as the plan matured, today you’re looking more at one-and-a-half active for every retired. I think that, you know, this is not sustainable unless the retirees participate in the risk. And that’s one of the things that the plan has and that’s an asset and they’re worried that you can count on, essentially, extra contributions or a decrease in benefit that helps you match your assets and your liabilities. But, you know, coming back...
Episode #127: Radio Show: Meb and Elon Musk Talk Shorting… Conflicting U.S. Valuation Indicators…...
...ethod-for-asset-allocation https://pensionpartners.com/valuation-timing-and-a-range-of-outcomes/ http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2016/06/the-case-for-momentum-in-expensive.html http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2016/02/make-volatility-your-friend-by-limiting.html https://blog.thinknewfound.com/2018/02/dollar-cost-average/ 0:50 – Welcome and Halloween costume talk 2:15 – Recap of past travel and preview of future travel 2:42 – Meb’s tweet battle...
Episode #126: Karen Finerman, Metropolitan Capital Advisors, “‘Out-of-Favorness’ Is Appealing. The Difficult Part is...
...profitability. Although Wall Street seems to think that banks are a giant 2-year, 10-year spread. I think that’s wrong. So it was on the way down when the curve flattened. That was bad for banks. And now I think people think, “Oh it’s good for banks, it’s a curve. Steepens [SP] and rates go up.” That’s true. But it’s not a giant 2-year tenure bit. But, so I like those. I think some of the, I don’t know why they’re so out of favour at the moment. I...
Episode #125: Tom Barton, White Rock Capital, “The Biggest Problem Investors Have is Things...
...t for almost no money, it was a couple million dollars or maybe its two-and-a-half-million dollars. We paid for it. And then we hired the right team, and we turned it into a real drug, and we treated 15 kids, and these kids are doing phenomenal. And we’re gonna treat other kids and then Novartis the bought it for 9 billion. But we started out by going to Intrexon. We built another company. There were three other people who started it up. I put the...
Bonus Episode: Wes Gray – Factor Investing is More Art, and Less Science
...Also, know that your purchase would benefit charity, as all writer-proceeds go to the charity of the specific author’s choosing. So, enough from me, let’s let Wes take over with this special bonus episode. Comments or suggestions? Email us Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com or call us to leave a voicemail at 323 834 9159 Interested in sponsoring an episode? Email Jeff at jr@cambriainvestments.com...
Episode #124: Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital, “It’s Not What You Buy, It’s What You...
...tical, and everybody knows that scepticism consists when they hear some fly-by-night scheme that promises profit without risk. We know that scepticism consists of saying, “No, no, no. That’s too good to be true.” What I realized at the depths of October of ’08 is that scepticism also consists sometimes of saying, “No, that’s too bad to be true.” When we can’t possibly come up with an account that satisfies people’s pessimism in the extreme, then w...
