Where the Black Swans Hide

10
I have written about the topic of volatility clustering a number of times, and thought I would update the post here.   Many people trot...

Dow Theory Quantified

2
Currently writing a white paper on quantifying and backtesting Dow Theory.. stay tuned! Two recent books out on the subject: Dow Theory for the 21st Century...

LinkFest

3
We are up about 25% from the lows.  In the 1930 bear there were five DJIA rallies of > 20%, including a 48% rally...

Global Asset Allocation Summit

2
I went to the GAA Summit in Carlsbad, CA Feb 1 & 2.    I was looking forward to reconnecting with an old UVa...

Strategic Asset Allocation: Determining the Optimal Portfolio with Ten Asset Classes

6
A nice review from CXO on a paper from the folks at Robeco.  While I disagree with their expected risk premium for commodities (zero!),...

A Couple Ideas for the Strategic AA Crowd

0
Besides tax harvesting (selling holdings at losses and switching to a similar index fund), why not move into a fund with big negative capital...

Listed Alternatives

25
Is there anyone out there doing good work on the listed alternatives space?  Would you be interested in a newsletter discussing the listed alternative...

Triumph of the Pessimists

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Does anyone have the HSBC article "The Triumph of the Pessimists"?  Summary from the FT. ---- The first Ivy Book review is up from CXO.  If...

2
Nice way to track the 10-SMA over on Market Rewind.  

Imagine the Unimaginable

4
Stocks outperform bonds in the long run.  Well, in the 1800s that was the realllly long run.  70 years long run. Article from the FT...