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Weekend Reads

...815/FREE/130819947 … All weather except when it’s raining on bonds. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-14/dalio-patched-all-weather-s-rate-risk-as-u-s-bonds-fell.html … speaking of 13F week – over ten manager clones top 10 holdings are up over 50% YTD. Saba, Baker Bros, Elm Ridge, and Par all up there.   and from some friends:   Downtown Josh Brown ‏@ReformedBroker: Great Citi graphic via @valuewalk – Gold miners have spent the last decade burn...

Travel: NC

...I will be chatting up the CFA societies in Charlotte, Winston-Salem, and Raleigh next week. Stop by and say hello if you’re in town!   http://www.cfasociety.org/northcarolina/Pages/default.aspx   Charlotte August 5th 12 Noon   TRIAD August 6th 8AM   TRIANGLE August 6 12 Noon...

Shareholder Yield Book Free on Amazon

...Amazon lets you offer your book for free on Amazon for five days per quarter, so I have it setup to be free today through Monday. So, download a free version while you can (you can read on Kindle, iPad, computer, etc)…! Download here...

Stockpicking Contest with $65k in Prizes

...ht ($100,000 prize) Whitebox Research ($25,000 prize) NAAIM Wagner Award ($10,000 prize) MTA Dow Award ($5,000 prize) – See more at: https://mebfaber.com/2013/02/05/my-1-read-of-the-year-185k-in-prizes/#sthash.DHCL5od0.dpuf...

Lessons Learned on Publishing an eBook (Also, Book Now Free for Amazon Prime Members)

...reduced the price to $5, or roughly the cost of a latte. But, people still complain that it is too short. Along the same lines is the problem of producing a lot of free content. Once you do this, people begin to expect it. I have received a number of emails stating they thought the book should have been a free white paper (to which I offer to refund their $4.99). Investors have no problems paying for loads and high fees often in the tens of thousa...

QTAA Update: Conclustions and FAQs

...r numbers but make certain that the numbers are total return including dividends and income. For Yahoo Finance one needs to use the adjusted numbers – AND make sure to adjust them every month (or record the new returns for that month), a tedious process. How is your ETF different then the model you presented in the white paper and book? We cannot address questions about our funds here. Feel free to email us or visit the fund information page here:...

QTAA Paper Update: Weightings 10/10

...sets as ranked by an average of 1, 3, 6, and 12-month total returns (momentum). This method was detailed in our white paper “Relative Strength Strategies for Investing”. The assets are only included if they are above their long-term moving average, otherwise that portion of the portfolio is moved to cash. We also include the effects of only investing in the top three out of thirteen assets. Another extension we covered is to apply leverage to gene...

QTAA Paper Update: Alt Cash Strategies 9/10

...eans to increase the yield on the cash portion of the portfolio using any number of funds or concepts. Below we look at a simple method of taking on more duration risk by investing the portfolio in 10 year government bonds instead of Treasury Bills.   Figure 19: Buy and Hold and GTAA Portfolios, 1973-2012 An investor would have realized an additional 1.37% per annum in returns for marginally more volatility and drawdown – but how much of this is s...

QTAA Paper Update: Extensions 8/10

...nically, we believe there are only four real asset classes: stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. Everything else (like REITs) is a combination of the prior four.) At the same time, expanding a portfolio with allocations less than 5% of the total does not do enough to move the needle on the entire portfolio’s risk and reward characteristics. (This ignores derivatives and holdings with highly asymmetric payoffs). We also have the challenge th...

QTAA Paper Update: Vol Clusters 7/10

...ty 30% higher when the market is below its 10-month simple moving average. Commodities are the one exception where volatility is not higher when below the moving average, which makes intuitive sense. Commodities are often driven by supply shocks that can result in price spikes. 2008 is a prime example with volatility levels in stock markets around the globe exploding to record levels. However, this volatility has occurred after the markets already...