Macro Pessimism, Micro Optimism

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Everyday the news bombards us with negative macro headlines.  Troubles in Europe, war in Syria, asset bubbles, and politicians acting idiotically are the norm...

Reversion System Triggered

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Most risk based assets got clobbered in May, but the worst was foreign stocks (EAFE and EEM both around -11%). That would trigger our old...

If you have nothing to say….

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This blog will never be one of the more prolific or popular blogs for a host of reasons, and often weeks may pass between...

S&P to 400?

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As a follow up to my posts on global CAPEs, Timely Portfolio had a mention of Russell Napier of CLSA here, here, and a...

Secular Lows

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If you look at the history of country CAPEs, they tend to bottom out in single digits around 7.  Bull markets can push this...

Global Shiller CAPEs

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I have yet to find a source anywhere that tracks global Shiller CAPEs so I had my analyst Prabhat update this older post with...

Trading System Backtesters and Updates

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I get a lot of emails asking about good software to use for X.  We do almost everything in Excel with macros, but I...

The Idea Farm

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We are going to start rolling out some interesting ideas this summer in the content space.  Would like to hear your feedback on a...

Sentiment Update

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Quite a shift in sentiment from a few months ago from AAII:

Long Way Down

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Here is the graphic from the last post of 30 country ETFs we track, and you can see the US is holding up much...