Making Adjustments (ie What if 2008 Never Happened?)

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One of the things that makes me really queasy as a portfolio manager is when people make "adjustments" to historical price data.  The classic...

Important News – Freed Again

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It has only taken a few weeks but I am very happy to announce that enough people have subscribed to The Idea Farm that...

Sharks Circling

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Interesting news tonite that Third Point is launching a Greek Hedge Fund to capitalize on opportunities in the beaten down stock market there.  Other...

Travel: NYC and Philly

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I'm on the plane to NYC to sit in on the Barron's ETF Roundtable, and should have a little free time in both cities....

Asset Price Trend

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Asset Price Trend Theory Abstract:      Traditional portfolio optimization models implicitly or explicitly specify placement of capital as rather irrevocably and fully at risk through investment horizon(s)...

Investing In High Dividend Years

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A few Idea Farms ago we looked at a WisdomTree research piece by Schwartz that sorted emerging markets into high and low dividend years....

Sector Valuations: One Buy, One Bubble?

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Below I updated the sector CAPE valuations....there is a pretty wide range - one sector is at 10 and another at a near all...

Valuations Across All Stock Markets since 1979

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The difficulty I have with a lot of indicators is just that, they are difficult.  If I can't understand what the chart is saying...

CAPE Updates

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Below are updates to the CAPE values from our paper Global Value: Building Trading Models with the 10 Year CAPE.    

Damodaran on Valuations

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Longish piece from Damodaran... and nice graphic of buybacks and dividends...