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Advisors Have it Wrong, the Robots are Your Friend!

...any individuals. Many advisors have been wringing their hands over the fee compression – how can we compete in a world where asset allocation is a commodity? The answer is – because asset allocation has always been a commodity. Look, the vast majority of financial advisors don’t offer any investment alpha. Hell, the vast majority of investment managements don’t either! So the advent of the robo technology should be seen as a boon to advisors – it...

The Trinity Portfolio

...in a bit more detail. Subscribers of The Idea Farm get access to an Excel download that lets you backtest buy and hold and simple trendfollowing strategies back to 1972. We used a similar Excel model to run all the tests in the GAA book. I plan on updating it again in 2016 with new data. So, first let’s refresh the ideas in the book with some of the standard benchmarks. The “GAA” portfolio is from the book, and is simply the global market cap por...

Timing the Markets with Value and Trend

...go a step further, and instead of investing in the S&P500 sort individual companies by value and momentum as well. So you have the best of both worlds – great companies sorted by value and momentum, but also protected when stocks are expensive. To view these results go check out this awesome post on value and momentum from Alpha Architect. Even when they penalize results with a whopping 3% in annual fees and costs (way too high in my mind), the s...

CHAPTER 13 – SUMMARY

...s on the web: Portfolio Visualizer Alpha Architect ETF Replay You can also download free data sources to Excel and test on your own. What about other asset classes? This book is meant to describe the main asset classes that comprise the majority of the global market portfolio. The allocations provided in this piece form the basis for a core portfolio. However, many asset classes are perfectly reasonable in an asset allocation framework to include...

Three-Way Model

...ation from NDR   Copyright 2015 Ned Davis Research, Inc. Further distribution prohibited without prior permission. All Rights Reserved. See NDR Disclaimer at www.ndr.com/copyright.html. For data vendor disclaimers refer to www.ndr.com/vendorinfo/....

Stocks are the Most Expensive, Well, Ever

...lick to enlarge… Copyright 2015 Ned Davis Research, Inc. Further distribution prohibited without prior permission. All Rights Reserved. See NDR Disclaimer at www.ndr.com/copyright.html. For data vendor disclaimers refer to www.ndr.com/vendorinfo/....

Global Asset Allocation – New Book!

...two books, my goal was to keep it short enough to read in one sitting, evidence-based with a basic summary that is practical and easily implementable. Like my other books, this is not meant to be a moneymaker, rather, I just want to get it in as many people’s hands as possible that want to read it. And since many often ask about the ins-and-outs of self-publishing, below is a long post with lots of links and comments on the whole process. (You ca...

Single Best New Site For Investors

...I am super happy to announce that Research Affiliates has build out a pretty killer new capital market forecast site, complete with CAPE updates! Enjoy! http://www.researchaffiliates.com/AssetAllocation/Pages/Core-Overview.aspx  ...

13F Investing Doesn’t Work, Right?

...post he had a biotech stock get bought out. Fast forward to 2014 and this summer Klarman owned Idenix which got bought out for a whopping 200+% premium netting Baupost over a billion dollars. His simple top 10 clone has beaten the market by over 10% a year since 2000, and 10/15 years since 2000. 2014? Up 50%. Yep, nothing to see here. My favorite thing about Baupost though is their holdings are almost always unique. Many hedge funds simply look li...

Business Radio Podcast

...I can’t rec these interviews enough. Barry Ritholtz chats up lots of investment luminaries including Gundlach, Arnott, etc….bookmark! http://www.bloomberg.com/podcasts/masters-in-business/...