New Book (#3) Out Soon

It’s awfully nice out in SoCal so I may not finish this weekend, but my new book should be out in the next few weeks.  As always, will send a free copy to Idea Farm subs when it launches…stay tuned! Two other books that just came out on the way are: Tail Risk Hedging & Rule Based Investing…

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CAPE Valuation Bollinger Bands

I was trying to do everything to avoid going to the gym last nite so I put together this chart.  25% cheapest, 25% most expensive, and average of all countries and their CAPE valuations.  2nd chart includes the US.  It’s almost like a valuation Bollinger Band that could be used to adjust your domestic vs….

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Newton’s Revenge

Being a currency buff, I have always found Bitcoin and all of the other “alternative” currencies to be interesting, and a pleasant distraction.  A few months ago the price action seemed to suggest similar properties as many speculative bubbles do, so I penned a piece that compared Bitcoin to the South Seas Bubble.  I even…

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The Most Expensive Stocks are Near Their Most Expensive

Alliance Bernstein has a sneaky good blog.   I think this chart is very telling of where we are now…likely a great time to be running a market neutral fund.      

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Stocks Up, Bonds Down

At least, that’s what everyone thinks: HT Advisory Perspectives & Sundarden 

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Travel and Speeches

While I just got home to my own bed, I’m getting read to hit the road again.  Below is a list of upcoming speeches and travel.  Drop me a line if you want to schedule a meeting (or a beer), the entries in BOLD are where I am giving a public speech) : Denver &…

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Does it Even Matter?

I get lots of questions regarding our original paper, most of which I’ve tried to tackle in the FAQs in the update.  Here is a fun look from the Butler Philbrick crew asking some questions I have never even considered (what about an ANNUAL rebal?) and some more familiar to the readers here (what about…

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My #1 Read of the Year

I sent this read out last week to the Idea Farm list, and since it is a free download as well as my favorite read of the year I’m including it here.  CSFB publishes the Global Investment Returns Yearbook each year, and it is a gem.  It is their yearly update to my favorite investing…

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My Investing Mentor

This is one of my favorite pictures of Dad and I, having breakfast on the shores of Lago Atitlan in Guatemala.   I have always loved New Years Resolutions.  That doesn’t mean I have always been able to keep them of course, but the idea of optimism, renewal and committing oneself to self improvement has…

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What Does Siegel’s NIPA P/E Say About the Stock Market?

I had a great time at the ETF.com (formerly IndexU) conference in Florida the other day.  The highlight for me was getting to see Jeremy Siegel speak.  He is a brilliant researcher and well deserves the title of the “Wizard of Wharton”.  Especially wonderful was he focused his talk on one of my favorite metrics…

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