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Survival of the Fittest
...tfolio – Dick Stoken This was a good book to flip through, lots of diversified portfolio ideas overlaid with trendfollowing metrics. I tried to find contact info for the author but it looks like the links to Strategic Capital Management are broken. One interesting concept was the identification of a bubble as a market that hits a 20-year high (or more), and then triples within three years…Would be fun to test and update with some classic bubbles a...
Sorting Countries by Dividend Yield
...read if you can find it…) Countries included: Australia Austria Belgium Canada Denmark Finland France Germany Italy Japan Netherlands Norway Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom. Another study by Keppler found similar results. Lots more in the publication The High Dividend Yield Return Advantage by Tweedy Browne. Below are a couple ETFs in foreign developed and emerging with particularly high yields (the %ages next to the country name...
The Quant Stock Screening Bible
...edition is that James includes all new CRSP data since 1929 were possible (Compustat really only begins in the 1960s). One of my favorites! (I wonder if readers can guess what my favorite factor combo is…) Some other good screening books are: Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha by Richard Tortoriello. Greenblatt’s books. Haugen’s The Inefficient Stock Market . Chinicari’s Quant Equity Portfolio Management. Stock Selection – A Test of Relat...
Measuring the Performance of the Ivy Portfolio
...hat demonstrates the real time (hypothetical) performance of the timing model we published in 2006. He uses the great site ETFReplay and conducts the test with publicly traded ETFs. ETFReplay has some really nice tools to test quant strategies with ETFs (now if they just added index data back to the 1970s….I know you guys are reading this ahem)… The numbers are in the ballpark of what I would expect. Great chart below, click to enlarge:...
Why Use Book Value to Sort Stocks?
.../KRF: A stock’s price is just the present value of its expected future dividends, with the expected dividends discounted with the expected stock return (roughly speaking). A higher expected return implies a lower price. We always emphasize that different price ratios are just different ways to scale a stock’s price with a fundamental, to extract the information in the cross-section of stock prices about expected returns. One fundamental (book valu...
Well That Was A Surprise…
...ctical investment content, and shocking to me, most of you want to read it online or as a PDF by a 2:1 margin. Personally I can’t think of anything worse than trying to read a 200 or 300 page piece online or as a PDF but that is why I asked. Then again, my iPad and Kindle are both mostly used as paperweights and only for long trips. Kindle and hardcover were both represented with much lower votes. I’ll post a chart after a few days when all of the...
Experimenting With Umami Dust
...stituted parm cheese for the bonito flakes). It was kind of amazing as the umami dust tasted like poo just plain but amazing when combined with the burger….was thinking of some sous vide ribs or something but nothing decided as of yet. And for you office pick’em leagues, here is a post from last year: I’ve used a simple betting strategy to win our office NFL pool most weeks. It simply fades the consensus picks. Online books and betting websites ha...
Investment Paper Competition – $10,000
...e better theory), and the words of Albert Einstein, “In my view, such more complicated systems and their combinations should be considered only if there exist physical-empirical reasons to do so.” “In my experience, complexity brings risk and higher probability of failure,” Morris explained. He is the chairman of the investment committee and chief technical analyst for Stadion Money Mangement. 2012 will be the fourth consecutive year NAAIM has...
What if Newton was a Trendfollower?
...og. Click the title below to download. (And if you can’t figure out how to download it you click “one-click download” and make sure any pop up blockers are disabled.) Learning to Love Investment Bubbles: What if Sir Isaac Newton had been a Trendfollower? Abstract: Investment manias and financial bubbles have likely existed for as long as humans have been involved in financial markets. In this research piece we take a look at some of the more famou...
Where the Black Swans Hide and the Ten Best Days Myth
...r free on the SSRN. Click to download. (And if you can’t figure out how to download it you click “one-click download” and make sure any pop up blockers are disabled.) Where the Black Swans Hide and the Ten Best Days Myth Abstract: Below we examine market outliers in financial markets. How much effect do these outliers have on long term performance? Can the investor prepare for these anomalies, or are they truly ‘black swans’ that cannot be manag...
